It’s been about three weeks since Justin Trudeau resigned as Prime Minster of Canada. The above video was generously hosted by Academic Agent on his YouTube channel. In it I take a retrospective look at Justin Trudeau’s time in office and his place in Canadian political history.
The video briefly looks at the future prospects for Canadian politics. I would like to take the opportunity here to develop those thoughts somewhat further. In the two weeks since I made the above video, the Liberal Party leadership race has taken shape and the dynamics of Canadian politics have accelerated into crisis as a leaderless Canada faces a Trump administration seeking to extract concessions in trade negotiations.
The Crisis
Over the next decade Canada faces profound challenges on a number of fronts. The education system has ceased to function effectively as the university system is replaced by a cash-for-visas racket and the primary education system becomes ever more ideological; the resource-economy is weak in the face of increased oil production in the US and poor economic performance in China; the immigration system is a serious net-cost to the country but will be extremely painful to unwind; and the healthcare system finds itself turning to euthanizing it’s costly patients to paper over it’s capacity problems. All of these problem look likely to get worse before they get better, even if better decision making started today.
The Trudeau Gambit
The Laurentian Elite appear to have become acutely aware of the above set of issues, and have been taking steps over the last 18 months to assign responsibility for as many of the above issues to Justin Trudeau as possible. The strategy now appears to be to select a candidate to lose the next election, associate that candidate with a specific cause of one or more of the structural causes of Canada’s problems, and use the failed campaign to jettison a set of losing political positions.
It’s possible that the winner in this mess is able to hold on long enough to have a fighting chance in an election as a result of change in circumstance, but I consider that strategic loss is the plan for the Laurentian Elite, and a leadership candidate that holds onto government would be a frustration of that plan. With this in mind, lets review the “jobber” candidates being prepared to lose and accept blame.
The Candidates:
Below is a review of the current candidates for LPC leadership presented in approximate order of likelihood of selection, and what their candidacy would mean.
Mark Carney - Green Globalism
Mark Carney is currently one of the favourites to succeed Justin Trudeau as leader of the LPC. This week four of the key five Canadian banks left the “Net-Zero Banking Alliance”, a UN-backed initiative set up by Carney to lead the world into the brave new world. If Carney is selected, the LPC will use his loss to break their association with Carbon Taxes, and the global “net-zero” agenda more broadly.
Chrystia Freeland - Ukraine
Chrystia Freeland is an ethnic Ukrainian deeply associated with the Maidan Revolution in Ukraine. She’s also a devotee of the aesthetics of insufferable Millennial women. If she is selected, her loss will be used to distance the LPC and the Laurentian Elite more broadly from it’s current highly belligerent policy toward Russia, and possibly also from the worst excesses of Millennial feminist childishness.
Chandra Arya - Immigration
Chandra Arya is an Indian-Canadian from the Hindu side of that ethnic divide. He has expressed contempt for the historical ethnic settlement in Canada in several ways, not least by claiming that speaking French is not a requirement for becoming Prime Minister. If he is selected, his loss will be used to allow the LPC to reform their internal consensus on immigration and the management of the increasingly prominent ethnic tensions within Canada.
Jaime Battiste - Native Anti-Racism
Jaime Battiste is a Native Canadian deeply associated with that specific interest group. His key promises relate to the “residential school genocide” narrative. If Battiste is selected the LPC will use his loss as an opportunity to distance themselves from this client group, and put them in their place within the coalition.
Frank Baylis - Neo-Liberal Corporatism
Frank Baylis is a billionaire who made his money selling his medical devise company to Boston Scientific. If he is selected, his loss will be an opportunity for the LPC to embrace left-wing populism of the “occupy Wall-Street” variety. I think this is highly unlikely.
Looking Forward
As the Liberal Party leadership race progresses we should get a better picture of which way the Laurentian Elite want to go; but we will also see an evolution in the political situation in Canada as the politics settle in Washington. It’s very likely that the political settlement between the Elites which hold power within the US MIC and the elites which hold power within the “Global System” will play an important role in the shape of Canadian politics going into this election. For more coverage of the Elite mechanics driving this evolution, follow the ongoing work of this publication.
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